Football gets nerdier each year. It may not be as geeky as what baseball has become, but pigskin number crunchers are catching up when it comes to analytics. One of the NFL godfathers of metrics is Football Outsiders. The site has been crunching NFL stats for years.
So it’s kind of a big deal when Outsiders’ annual projection book is released. The 2020 book was released this week, and the Associated Press has passed along some interesting Raiders projections.
FO projects the Raiders to win 7.7 games in 2020, which is a fancy way of saying it expects them to go 7-9 for a second straight season, with a 38.1 percent chance of making the playoffs. Remember, the AFC playoffs will increase from six to seven teams in 2020, so I find that percentage to be a tad low.
The Raiders are projected to have the No. 16 offense and the No. 20 defense in the league this season. If this defense is the 20th best in the NFL this season, the Raiders’ offense better crack the top 10, which it is definitely capable of doing after an offseason of adding key pieces.
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