The United States would have advanced to the knockout stage of the World Cup if they had beaten Portugal Sunday, but a late goal resulted in the teams tying 2-2. Despite the tie, the US still has a good shot of advancing to the round of 16.
– Win or draw against Germany
– Loss to Germany and Portugal-Ghana draw
– Loss and win tiebreaker vs. Portugal-Ghana winner
The tiebreaker is determined by margin of victory/loss during the World Cup. The US has scored 4 goals and allowed 3 in Group G play; Ghana has scored 3 and allowed 4; and Portugal has scored 2 and allowed 6.
Ghana would win a tiebreaker with the US if either of the next two games are decided by a margin of two goals or more. Portugal would win a tiebreaker with the US if they can win big and see the US lose big (the margin of difference between goals would have to be greater than 5 total).
The simplest scenario for the US to qualify is either of the top two scenarios, that way they would not have to worry about the margin of victory/defeat coming into play.